Wednesday, April 27, 2016

The Opfer's Mock

                     
Will Elliott get past the Boys at 4? Where will Paxton Lynch land? Are the Browns done trading? Is Kaepernick and/or Bradford going to be dealt? How many trades in the first round? All these questions and more will be answered come primetime Thursday night.
Predicting the NFL Draft is about as easy as predicting an NCAA tournament bracket. Teams, specifically management, have different blueprints on the players and plans they want to pursue to improve their respective teams. In turn, it creates so much uncertainty surrounding such an exciting event. And that is what makes this mock drafting so fun. This time around, my brother and I jump into the GM spot for one day, picking players we feel would benefit teams at each spot.
So with that, here’s our picks on how the top-half of draft night may shake out, without predicting any trades (which is inevitably bound to happen).
1. Los Angeles Rams (From TEN) – Jared Goff, QB, California
Austin - After giving up a bunch to take over the top spot, Los Angeles is banking on the local product to be their franchise guy. After not having a QB since the legendary Kurt Warner, it seems like it is the only position keeping this team from being more prominent. Goff definitely has the attributes, but the biggest question will be if he can deliver on the biggest stage. For what the Rams gave up, they better hope so. 
Ayden - Los Angeles sold the house to grab the number one selection and I can’t see any circumstance where they wouldn’t take a quarterback here. The Rams are trying to make a big splash in their first season in Los Angeles and they certainly have done so by giving up six draft picks to go get their franchise QB. Goff seems to be the more proven quarterback at this point and it seems that the Rams are going to take him with this selection.
2. Philadelphia Eagles (From CLE) – Carson Wentz, QB, North Dakota State
Austin - Philadelphia made the jump to acquire one of the top two quarterbacks in the draft. Already having Sam Bradford (who now wants out), and the highest paid back-up in Chase Daniels, this makes for an interesting move. They obviously see a franchise-caliber player able to ultimately take over the reins. Wentz is one of the more athletic quarterbacks to come into the draft in the last few years, and may be just the guy to propel Doug Peterson’s group. 
Ayden - Philadelphia seems to be jumping in on the ‘grabbing a franchise quarterback’ train. It seems that they will select the best available quarterback which will be dependent upon the Rams selection. It seems that Wentz can be a guy that can sit and develop for a few years which is exactly what the Eagles want with an uncertain future in both Bradford and Daniels. One thing is for certain: the Eagles are trying to find a franchise quarterback for the next decade, so having Wentz sit for a year or two may not be the worst thing. For Philly fans however, they may have to do something they're unaccustomed to doing: be patient.
3. San Diego Chargers 
Austin - DeForest Buckner, DE, Oregon
Rumor has it that the Chargers really like Ronnie Stanley. Better yet, the buzz is rising on Buckner. Who in the world knows what they’ll do with this pick. They’d throw a shocking wrench if they were to snag Stanley. Sure the O-line is a rough patch, but how about the D-line, who surrendered 2,000 rushing yards and 17 TD’s (most since 1985) in 2015. Buckner would provide an interior pass rush and immensely improve the run D.
Ayden – Laremy Tunsil, OT, San Diego
The Chargers need help in a lot of areas and with the loss of Eric Weddle, Cornerback Jalen Ramsey seems to be a nice fit considering his versatility. However, San Diego needs to solidify their offensive line, and picking this high in the draft they have the opportunity to do that. A few days ago Offensive tackle Laremy Tunsil was the no brainer number one left tackle. However, over the last few days Ronnie Stanley’s (Notre Dame) stock has been rising. I think the Chargers grab a tackle with this pick, but I think they stay with the SEC’s Tunsil.
4. Dallas Cowboys
Austin – Jalen Ramsey, CB/S, Florida State
This is an interesting spot for Dallas and with Jerry Jones it seems they could go a number of ways. But the Boys tied for 25th in sacks a year ago and ranked 31st in quarterback hurries. Selecting a player like Bosa could help change that in a significant way. Elliot is also floating around here, but the immediate need lies on defense. That's why bringing in Ramsey would solidify a major need as well. He's set on playing corner, but with his versatility, he could play Safety, defend the slot, or even develop into an elite press corner. In this spot, take the best available player. That’s Ramsey.
Ayden – Joey Bosa, DE, Ohio State
At this point the Cowboys could go one of two ways, they can get help for Romo by adding an Ezekiel Elliot or they can get a defender that they desperately need and draft Elliot’s teammate Joey Bosa or highly touted cornerback Jalen Ramsey. However, I think the Cowboys will draft on need and snag Bosa. The Cowboys Defensive front is reeling, the Greg Hardy experiment seems to be failing, and amidst that the Demarcus Lawrence and Randy Gregory were both hit with four game suspensions. There’s no doubt that Bosa’s athletic ability can help the Cowboys, but if he adds to the off field issues this pick could be a major bust.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars  
Austin – Joey Bosa, DE, Ohio State
I could actually see the Jaguars trying to trade with the Chargers if they favored Ramsey. Otherwise, settling for a linebacker or edge rusher wouldn’t be a bad consolation prize. If Bosa plays to his ability and stays out of trouble, he’ll be a big time impact player. He has all the abilities to be an effective pro. It’s also important to note that the Jags return Dante Fowler, last year’s first rounder, from injury. Throwing Bosa in the mix only deepens their pass rush.
Ayden - Myles Jack, OLB, UCLA
If Jacksonville looks past the injury concerns, Jack could help solidify a major hole. Jacksonville needs defensive playmakers, and he can be that guy based upon his extreme athleticism and great instincts. He would help this young roster develop and instantly improve a team that was 27th in turnovers and 28th in passing yards allowed per game.
6. Baltimore Ravens
Austin - Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss
One of the biggest winners from the Rams and Eagles trading up has to be the Ravens, as they are now likely to land a top 5 prospect. If Bosa is available, I’m convinced he’ll be there guy. If not, maybe another edge rusher. Here, Ozzie Newsome strikes gold again and grabs the best player available, a starting tackle for the next decade.
Ayden - Jalen Ramsey, CB, Florida State
Baltimore needs help on the defensive side of the ball and If Jalen Ramsey is still available at this point in the draft, I think Baltimore has no choice but to snag him. They struggled in the secondary giving up thirty touchdowns through the air, while only intercepting six. If the Ravens can groom Ramsey into a safety he has the potential to be the heir apparent of Ed Reed. However, if they use Ramsey as a corner, not many receivers should be able to get past him considering his quickness.
7. San Francisco 49ers – Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame
Austin - You never know what Chip Kelly is going to do. He certainly doesn’t have the reins he had in Philly, but he still has insight on the move he’d like to make. Paxton Lynch this high? I would never put it past him, especially if they deal Kaepernick. But Ronnie Stanley fills an immediate need and gives the Niners O-line some stability.
Ayden - San Fran has plenty of questions at quarterback, but taking Paxton Lynch here may be a bit of stretch. Instead they should bolster either their offensive or defensive line. Although there are many valuable defensive linemen available, the Niners need to address their offensive line which gave up the second most sacks last season. With Ronnie Stanley’s draft status rising this may be where he lands.
8. Cleveland Browns (From PHI)
Austin - Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis
This seems like another trade possibility. The Browns are in full rebuild mode, and maximizing picks isn’t a bad thing. I could see a team jumping up to land Elliot or maybe even Paxton Lynch. At some point however, the Browns need to make picks. And this may sound crazy, but TWENTY-FOUR different starting quarterbacks since they’ve returned, including seven alone in the past three seasons. In my opinion, Lynch isn’t far off from the top two in this class. Rebuilding a franchise starts at QB, and Hue Jackson and the Browns desperately need stability at the position. I’m sorry, but RGIII isn’t the long-term answer (or maybe even short-term for that matter). Lynch very well may be the guy. After all, they have 11 more selections to fill other positions in this draft.
Ayden - DeForest Buckner, DL, Oregon
If Cleveland wanted to select a quarterback in the first round they wouldn’t have stock piled their picks for future drafts. Cleveland’s mentality seems to be anything but “Win now”. Instead they are focusing on the future. But this Cleveland roster needs all sorts of help. I think Cleveland may look to trade down even further and grab Paxton Lynch to compete with RGIII, however there may be too many good defensive players available at this point. I think Cleveland may go with the best available player, who to me would be, the 2015 Pac-12 Defensive player of the year, DeForest Buckner. He is the athletic workhorse that Cleveland needs to have consistent Defensive Line play.  
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Vernon Hargreaves, CB, Florida
Austin - Tampa Bay allowed opponents to complete passes at a whopping rate of 70%, dead last in the NFL. The Bucs certainly have other needs, but finding a player to help improve their secondary is a must.
Ayden - Tampa Bay is in a similar spot as Jacksonville: a team with an improving offense that needs help on the defensive side of the ball. I think Tampa will either grab a cornerback or a defensive lineman. Hargreaves can give a secondary which gave up 70% of opposing quarterbacks passes much needed help.
10. New York Giants  
Austin - Myles Jack, LB, UCLA
The Giants go with the best available player on the board. His knee issue scares many, but with a line-backing corp that needs help, the risk is worth it for the G-men. Jack is seen as one of the top prospects when healthy, and if that’s the case, he has all-pro written all over him.
Ayden - Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State
The Giants may be intrigued if Elliot is still available at this point but they have to establish a strong Offensive Line that can keep Manning upright and can help in assisting an offense that struggled to run the ball effectively. They punched in just five rushing touchdowns last season. Conklin may be the run blocking tackle that the Giants need. He could probably start day one on the right side, or eventually be groomed into a left tackle.
11. Chicago Bears
Austin - Leonard Floyd, OLB, Georgia
Bringing in speed and explosiveness at linebacker is certainly something John Fox and the Bears could use. Floyd will be a playmaker from day one.
Ayden - Shaq Lawson, OLB/DE, Clemson
Elliot may also be intriguing to a Bears team that lost their leading rusher, but I think if Lawson is available he may be who the Bears take here. Chicago could land a three down D-lineman that could compliment their current roster and help a defense that gave up nearly six yards per play last season.
12. New Orleans Saints Sheldon Rankins, DT, Louisville
Austin - Taking Paxton Lynch here wouldn’t surprise me if he fell. But there wasn’t a worse defense in 2015. Dreadful against the pass, not much better against the run. Rankins is a stuffer, with stop-gap ability, who would instantly improve this woeful D.
Ayden - It seems that a lot of teams need help on the defensive side of the ball. New Orleans offense could keep up with a lot of their opponents, but the defense was woeful; they allowed opposing quarterbacks to have a 116.7 passer rating, while giving up nearly 5 yards a carry to opposing rushers. I think the Saints take Rankins, as he could be an every down tackle that is extremely athletic for his size. He would help in the run game by shedding off blockers or drawing double teams.
13. Miami Dolphins – Ezekiel Elliot, RB, Ohio State
Austin - Part of the reason I have Elliot dropping in this mock is because I’d love to see it happen (being a Dolphins fan). In no way do I see this coming to fruition, but this would fill a huge need for the Phins. Losing Lamar Miller in the off-season was a major blow to the backfield, and bringing in a three-down complete back would be a huge addition for Miami. With Elliott not available, look for an edge rusher, defensive back, or linebacker - all positions that need improvement.  
Ayden - Miami traded away a top ten pick to try to add some depth at key defensive positions. That means if Elliot is somehow available at this point Miami would jump all over it, especially with the loss of Lamar Miller in the offseason. Miami needs a playmaker that can take pressure off Tannehill, and also be a key attribute in the passing game as a blocker. If Elliot is gone I expect the Dolphins to grab a linebacker, maybe Elliot’s Buckeye teammate, Darron Lee.
14. Oakland Raiders
Austin - William Jackson III, CB, Houston
The Raiders seem to be headed in the right direction. Finding a way to improve their 26th ranked pass defense is a major step in reaching new success. Drafting a defensive back who can match the physicality of the D-line would be big. Jackson would be a perfect fit for the black hole.
Ayden - Robert Nkemdiche, DL, Ole Miss
The Raiders are another team that has an improving offense that needs help on the other side of the ball. Robert Nkemdiche is an extremely talented defensive lineman that can help the Raiders bolster their defensive line and can help take some of the pressure off of Khalil Mack. Nkemdiche has all of the physical tools necessary but will that translate?
15. Tennessee Titans (From LA)
Austin - Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan St
Wouldn’t this be ideal for Tennessee? After giving up the number one pick, in which they were bound to draft Tunsil, the Titans still manage to snag an impressive tackle to help improve the O-line. If he’s not available, OT Taylor Decker would be another quality option.
Ayden - Taylor Decker, OT, Ohio State
Tennessee gave up a league high 54 sacks last season, and if they want to keep Mariota off his back, they are going to need help. Decker is a very good run blocker, but if he can develop his pass blocking skills more effectively, he could be a staple for Tennessee down the road.
Wild-Card Selections
24. Cincinnati Bengals
Austin - Josh Doctson, WR, TCU
The Bengals lost Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu in the offseason. They're in dire need of another playmaker alongside A.J. Green. The rangy and athletic 6'4" Doctson would be the perfect fit. If he's not available, the next in line is bound to be the pick, as Cincy undoubtedly needs a receiver.
25. Pittsburgh Steelers
Ayden - Karl Joseph, DB, West Virginia
The Steelers absolutely need help in the secondary, more specifically at cornerback. Pittsburgh has lacked that lockdown corner that they desperately need. They have been building a solid front seven that has steadily improved throughout the past few seasons. However, the secondary is in dire need of some help. The Steelers ranked 30th in passing yards allowed last season (271.9 per game). Shamarko Thomas and other mid round picks have yet to pan out. One thing is certain, Pittsburgh is likely to take an Ohio State Buckeye at some point in this draft. Five out of the last six drafts has seen the Steel City grab a Buckeye. I don’t think Eli Apple will be available at this point, but Vonn Bell, or Karl Joseph could also fit into Pittsburgh’s scheme. I think if the Steelers overcome the injury at play with Joseph he would be a great addition to a smash mouth defense.
Welcome to the 2016 NFL Draft. The one time fans can renew their love for football and be optimistic that the future will bring wins to their franchise and, for a select few, a championship. Let the countdown begin.


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