Wednesday, September 9, 2015

NFL Preview and Predictions

Every season the NFL brings optimism, hope, drama, and excitement to fans. It also brings disappointment and heartbreak. And after one of the more bizarre and annoying off-seasons in league history, it feels great to finally get back to football on the field!

Here is my prediction for the 2015 season.

                   


AFC East
1. Miami Dolphins (3)
2. New England Patriots (5)
3. Buffalo Bills
4. New York Jets

At some point, the luck and the cheating of Coach Belichick and the Patriots has to give. Sure they've dominated the division this past decade, but not without questionable ethics. In the meantime, the rest of the division has brought in talent this off-season to try to dethrone the ‘champs’. The Phins, in particular, are loaded on offense and boast a QB in Ryan Tannehill who has improved in each of his first three seasons and is ready to take the next step. He has weapons galore lead by 1,000 yard rusher Lamar Miller and Mr. Energizer in second-year wide-out Jarvis Landry. That’s not to mention the defense, which now has one of the best in the business in DT Ndamukong Suh. Even though the Bills and the Jets brought in some big names in free agency as well, neither has a franchise QB, and that’s the difference.

AFC North
1. Baltimore Ravens (4)
2. Pittsburgh Steelers (6)
3. Cincinnati Bengals
4. Cleveland Browns

This division could go either way between the top two teams. The only difference is that the Ravens have an experienced defense versus a young and relatively inexperienced group to that of the Steelers. Pittsburgh very well may possess the most elite offense in all of football when all said and done, but it’s the defense that must step up to win the division and make a deep run. As for the Bengals and Browns, it’s the same story: inconsistent/no quarterback. Andy Dalton is way too inconsistent, and until Cleveland gets a franchise QB, they will continue to struggle. 

AFC South
1. Indianapolis Colts (1)
2. Houston Texans
3. Tennessee Titans
4. Jacksonville Jaguars

Andrew Luck and the Colts offense will be a tough out for anyone this season, but especially for those within the division. Adding two of the best veterans in the league (in Andre Johnson and Frank Gore) makes them all the more dangerous. Houston is always intriguing because of its defense, but stability at quarterback has plagued them for years. Tennessee is the most intriguing team to watch as rookie signal caller Marcus Mariota brings some excitement to a struggling offense. The Jags made some key additions to fill some big needs, but QB Blake Bortles and the rest of the young offense is still developing.

AFC West
1. Denver Broncos (2)
2. Kansas City Chiefs
3. San Diego Chargers
4. Oakland Raiders

After Manning wore down at the end of last season, he is out to prove he has at least one year left of great football. Running the football more may be a strategy Denver takes, especially early on, to help keep Manning fresh down the homestretch. Still, the Broncos should have another great year and be primed for a deep playoff run. Contingent on Manning of course. Kansas City and San Diego are on the cusp of being contenders. For the Chargers, rookie running back Melvin Gordon should help solidify a rather weak running game in past years. Similarly, veteran wide-out Jeremy Maclin should do the same for the Chiefs woeful passing game. Meanwhile in Oakland, Derek Carr and Amari Cooper should be a fun combo to watch develop. The Raiders will certainly still struggle, but they’re moving in the right direction.

NFC East
1. Philadelphia Eagles (3)
2. Dallas Cowboys (6)
3. New York Giants
4. Washington Redskins

All the news surrounding the Eagles this off-season was on the bizarre moves of Chip Kelly. Quite frankly though, I think his team should be better than a year ago. If Sam Bradford stays healthy, they will be dangerous. If not, it may be a different story. The Cowboys will contend but only to the extent of the effectiveness of its defense. The offense should once again be in the top 10, but finding a back or even a committee who can duplicate DeMarco Murray’s numbers will be difficult. New York could be a sleeper team as they have an offense that has a number of playmakers, and a defense that has young potential. If Eli can have a great year, they will contend for a playoff spot. Lastly, the only news coming out of Washington will be the continued fight for a name change. The team itself will struggle due to a lack of overall talent.

NFC North
1. Green Bay Packers (1)
2. Minnesota Vikings
3. Detroit Lions
4. Chicago Bears

Even with the loss of wide-out Jordy Nelson, the Pack will still boast a nasty offense. Having the best quarterback in the league in Aaron Rodgers certainly helps, as he will make whoever is on the field better. Minnesota will definitely benefit from the return of All-Pro RB Adrian Peterson. Couple that with the continuous improvement of QB Teddy Bridgewater and the Vikings have the ability to be really good. Detroit’s always a team that will hang around due to Megatron and Co., but their inability to win in the clutch will plague them again. For Chicago, it will be more of an experimental year than anything.

NFC South
1. New Orleans Saints (4)
2. Carolina Panthers
3. Atlanta Falcons
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Prior to last year, no team had ever won the division in consecutive seasons. The Panthers were the first to do and very well could make it a three-peat. But just like last year, this division should be up in the air. Hec, Tampa Bay won 2 games last season yet was still alive in Week 12. There’s no one team that stands out among the rest. Carolina lost its best playmaker for the year to injury, New Orleans traded theirs, and Atlanta has been slowly declining in recent years. Jameis Winston could be good someday but I don’t think that will be this year. Therefore, I’m taking New Orleans by way of best quarterback and the most playmakers on both sides of the ball.  

NFC West
1. Seattle Seahawks (2)
2. Arizona Cardinals (5)
3. St. Louis Rams
4. San Francisco 49ers

There’s no better home than that of the 12th Man, as the Seahawks are 14-2 at home the past two seasons. After adding hybrid TE Jimmy Graham to the mix this will be a team that makes another deep run, improving on that home record. For Arizona, if Carson Palmer stays healthy, I believe the Cardinals are legitimate Super Bowl contenders. They have every component needed to be elite. St. Louis is a team on the rise, but it will take some years to get past the big dogs in the West. As for San Francisco, they will be battling more-so for the number one pick in the draft rather than wins.

Playoff Predictions: 
Wild Card Round
AFC                                                                          NFC
Baltimore (4) vs. New England (5)                        Philadelphia (3) vs. Dallas (6)
Miami (3) vs. Pittsburgh (6)                                    New Orleans (4) vs. Arizona (5)

Divisional Round
AFC                                                                           NFC
Denver (2) vs. Miami (3)                                         Seattle (2) vs. Dallas (6)
Indianapolis (1) vs. Baltimore (4)                         Green Bay (1) vs. Arizona (5)

Conference Championship
AFC                                                                           NFC
Indianapolis (1) vs. Miami (3)                                Green Bay (1) vs. Seattle (2)

Super Bowl 50
Indianapolis (1) vs. Green Bay (1)

The pick: Green Bay
After last year’s collapse in the NFC Title game, there is nothing Aaron Rodgers wants more than another opportunity at redemption. There’s not a better team at molding and developing players. Sure, they lost one of their biggest stars, but they still have Randall Cobb, Eddie Lacy, DaVante Adams, and the best quarterback in the league. In a high scoring back and forth thriller, Rodgers leads the Pack to a game-winning drive in the final minutes as they hoist team Championship number 5. 

After 220 days, NFL Football is finally back! It's time for optimism!

And as always, Go Phins!!